Research Seminars & Other Events

NUS Quantitative Finance Joint Seminar Series (Webinar)

Date: 14 May 2021
Time: 4.00pm - 5.00pm
Speaker: Dr. Emiliano Pagnotta
Venue: Online Webinar

NUS Quantitative Finance Joint Seminar Series (Webinar)

This webinar is jointly organised by Risk Management Institute and Centre for Quantitative Finance

Programme

04.00pm - 05.00pm

 

(Singapore Time Zone, GMT +8)

Title: Becker Meets Kyle: Legal Risk and Insider Trading

 

Dr. Emiliano Pagnotta (Imperial College London)

Abstract: Do illegal insiders internalize legal risk? We address this question with hand-collected data from 530 SEC investigations. Using two plausibly exogenous shocks to expected penalties, we show that insiders trade less aggressively and earlier and concentrate on tips of greater value when facing higher risk. The results match the predictions of a model where an insider internalizes the impact of trades on prices and the likelihood of prosecution and anticipates penalties in proportion to trade profits. Our findings lend support to the effectiveness of U.S. regulations’ deterrence and the long-standing hypothesis that insider trading enforcement can hamper price informativeness.

About the Speaker

 

Dr. Emiliano Pagnotta is an Assistant Professor of Finance at Imperial College Business School. His research focuses on the exchange and valuation of financial assets and the organization and evolution of the markets where those assets trade in. Recent work by Dr. Pagnotta analyzes the consequences of speed and fragmentation in financial markets, the identification of private information in stock and derivatives markets, and the valuation of Bitcoin and other blockchain assets. His research is regularly presented in leading academic and professional conferences and published in academic journals such as Econometrica and The Review of Financial Studies.

Before joining Imperial College, Emiliano Pagnotta was at the New York University Stern School of Business. He holds a BA in Economics from the University of Buenos Aires, an MA in Economics from Universidad de San Andrés, Argentina, and a Ph.D. in Economics from Northwestern University.

 

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